Books
The Art of Political Control in China. Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics, Cambridge University Press, 2020.
- Best Book Award of the APSA Democracy and Autocracy Section
- Named one of Foreign Affairs Best Books of 2020
- Gaddis Smith International Book Prize
Autocracy Reborn: The Rise of Strongmen in China From Mao to Xi. Book manuscript.
Academic Articles
Tyler Jost and Daniel Mattingly. “Networks of Coercion: Military Ties and Civilian Leadership Challenges in China.“ Forthcoming, American Journal of Political Science. (PDF, Online Appendix, Replication Files)
Naoki Egami, Donald Green, Eunji Kim, and Daniel Mattingly. “Assessing the Influence of Foreign Propaganda in Africa with a Placebo-Augmented Design.” Forthcoming, Journal of Politics. (PDF, Replication Files)
Daniel Mattingly, Trevor Incerti, Changwook Ju, Colin Moreshead, Seiki Tanaka, and Hikaru Yamagishi. “Chinese State Media Persuades a Global Audience That the “China Model” is Superior: Evidence From A 19-Country Experiment.” American Journal of Political Science. 69:3 (2025): 1029-1046. (PDF, Online Appendix, Replication Files)
Daniel Mattingly. “How the Party Commands the Gun: The Foreign-Domestic Threat Dilemma in China.” American Journal of Political Science. 68(1) (2024): 227-242. (PDF, Online Appendix, Replication Files)
- Luebbert Best Article Prize, APSA Comparative Politics Section
- AJPS Best Article Award
- Honorable Mention, Best Paper, APSA Democracy and Autocracy Section
Daniel Mattingly and James Sundquist. “When Does Public Diplomacy Succeed? Evidence from China’s ‘Wolf Warrior’ Diplomats.” Political Science Research and Methods. 11:4 (2023): 921-929. (PDF, Online Appendix, Replication Files)
Daniel Mattingly and Chen Ting. “The Missionary Roots of Nationalism: Evidence from China.” Journal of Politics 84:3 (2022):1638-51. (PDF, Online Appendix, Replication Files)
Daniel Mattingly and Elaine Yao. “How Soft Propaganda Persuades.” Comparative Political Studies. 55:9 (2022):1569-1594. (PDF, Online Appendix, Replication Files)
Mai Hassan, Daniel Mattingly, and Elizabeth Nugent. “Political Control.” Annual Review of Political Science. 25 (2022):155–74. (PDF)
Trevor Incerti, Daniel Mattingly, Frances Rosenbluth, Seiki Tanaka, and Jiahua Yue. “Hawkish Partisans: How Political Parties Shape Nationalist Conflicts in China and Japan.” British Journal of Political Science. 51:4 (2021): 1494-1515. (PDF, Online Appendix, Replication Files)
Daniel Mattingly. “Responsive or Repressive? How Frontline Bureaucrats Enforce the One Child Policy in China.” Comparative Politics. 52:2 (2020): 269-288. (PDF, Online Appendix)
Daniel Mattingly. “Colonial Legacies and State Institutions in China: Evidence from a Natural Experiment.” Comparative Political Studies. 50:4 (2017): 434 – 463. (PDF, Replication Files)
Denise van der Kamp, Daniel Mattingly, and Peter Lorentzen. “Racing to the Bottom or to the Top? Decentralization, Revenue Pressures, and Governance Reform in China.” World Development. Volume 95, July 2017: 164-176. (PDF, Online Appendix)
Daniel Mattingly. “Elite Capture: How Decentralization and Informal Institutions Weaken Property Rights in Rural China.” World Politics. 68:3 (2016): 383 – 412. (PDF, Online Appendix, Replication Files)
Working Papers
Jonathan Elkobi and Daniel Mattingly. “How Ideology Shapes Elite Politics in China.”
Daniel Mattingly. “Why Do Autocrats Turn Against Their Allies? The Logic of Purge Cycles in China’s Military.”
Trevor Incerti, Jonathan Elkobi, and Daniel Mattingly. “Foreign Influencer Operations: How TikTok Shapes American Perceptions of China.”
Public Writing
Tyler Jost and Daniel Mattingly. “After Xi: The Succession Question Obscuring China’s Future – and Unsettling Its Present,” Foreign Affairs, September/October 2025.
Daniel Mattingly. “China’s Soft Sell of Autocracy Is Working,” Foreign Affairs, September 2024.
Daniel Mattingly. “The Decline of Factions in the PLA,” in Understanding China Amid Change and Competition, The Wilson Center, October 2023.
Teaching
The Rise of China, lecture
Chinese Foreign Policy, seminar
Governing China, seminar
