WASTE LAND: A WORLD IN PERMANENT CRISIS
By Robert D. Kaplan
The word âconservative,â at least when used to describe a political philosophy, has been debased in the twenty-first century to the point where itâs refreshing to read an author whose conservatism is so deeply rooted in Edmund Burke that he might be speaking to us direct from the eighteenth century. Robert Kaplanâs Waste Land doesnât take the fashionable form of a neoliberal manifesto, or preach reactionary nationalism, but instead appeals to the importance of monarchy â yes, a leviathan! â to preserve us from what he sees as the coming anarchy.
âThe Coming Anarchyâ is the title of an essay by Kaplan published in The Atlantic in 1994 and that he then expanded into a book of the same name in 2000. I wonât get into its argument here, but only say that Kaplan could have easily carried the title forward another thirty years because a coming anarchy is still what heâs all about. His political vision is grounded in the idea that âorder must come before freedom, because without order there is no freedom for anyone.â Without order there is only anarchy. And the opposite of anarchy is not some vague system of liberal government or socialist anarchy but hierarchy, and the best sort of hierarchy is one rooted in tradition. A passage like this might as well be quoting Burke: âBecause the past up to this point in time is all we know, we must always exercise a monumental level of caution in order to protect our civilization from tipping over into a heretofore unimagined disorder.â As you might expect from this, Kaplan is no fan of revolution, or any kind of innovation, at least in terms of politics. It takes a special kind of conservative point of view, not to mention one that uses a bit of squinting and side vision, to hold up Deng Xiaoping as an enlightened despot, ruling over a country unready for democracy and maintaining its traditional sense of order.
Kaplan is an ancien school right-winger, casting doubt not just on the French and Russian, but the American Revolution as well. âThe Trump presidency from 2017 to 2021 [Kaplan still only had evidence of the first administration to draw on] made us question the very viability of American democracy and political order.â Might it have been wiser for the colonists to have stuck with George III? Monarchs, you see, no matter how corrupt or incompetent, are a bulwark against the unimagined disorder of the coming anarchy: a âvacuum of legitimate political authorityâ that allows âthugs and bullies to run riot, invading the political space.â The twentieth century was rife with examples of how when âmonarchical rule with its inherent legitimacy has been replaced by modernizing dictatorshipsâ totalitarianism is sure to follow.
Kaplanâs cornerstone case in point is Weimar Germany, and he takes his lead from a comment made by Winston Churchill that if, after the First World War, the allies âhad allowed a Hohenzollern, a Wittlesbach, and a Habsburg to return to their thrones, there would have been no Hitler.â Alas, Churchill could only shake his head at the âimagined . . . progressâ of democratic rule, which is just an open door for âmodernizing dictatorships.â Reading this, you have to understand that progress and modernization (and liberalism, as well as, to some extent, freedom and democracy), are pejoratives for a conservative. Weimarâs weak democracy, in Kaplanâs words, was âno safeguard against Hitler,â while
Hohenzollern and Wittlesbach monarchs, even constitutional ones with little real power in Berlin and Munich, might well have been up to the task had they remained in place after World War I. That is because the very age-old tradition of those monarchies would have helped stabilize their governing systems. It would have made the politicians more serious, and made them less afraid, since they would have been holding up something estimable and mystical even that had stood the test of time.
Really? Really? Wilhelm II was an ultranationalist militarist who didnât exactly pump the brakes on World War I. He was, reportedly, unimpressed with Hitler while in exile, but had he still been emperor I donât think he would have been any effective counterweight to the Nazi takeover even if he had wanted to play that role (and I donât think he would have wanted to). Did Victor Emmanuel III do anything to âstabilizeâ Italy during Mussoliniâs rise? No, he welcomed a strong man who would heal Italyâs divisions, and anyway saw himself as too weak to be able to do much to stop him. Or take the case of Japan. The Emperor Hirohito, someone who did enjoy real political legitimacy (mystical even), didnât do anything to stop a military junta from taking over his country or exert much of an effort to stop its slide into war. When Kaplan wistfully regrets that âthere will be no return in the 21st century to anything approaching monarchy, with its inherent legitimacy that staves off compulsion for extremist ideology and violent control,â I donât know what to say because Iâm not sure what it is heâs talking about. The notion that a traditional monarchic order provides a safeguard of freedom from extremist political ideologies is not borne out by history. A traditional order, following what Iâve called Galbraithâs law, has more often authored its own destruction by calling forth the forces of revolution and civil war.
Iâve spent a lot of time on this because it is so central to Kaplanâs argument. And heâs not shy about loading the dice when arguing his case. Itâs hard to know where to begin, but to start where Kaplan does, I donât know how far Iâd want to take the principle that there is no freedom without order. Wouldnât it make as much sense to put it the other way around? Classical conservatives, we are told, âprefer stability to illusions of progress.â Well, when you put it that way who wouldnât? But what if we said that they prefer repressive authoritarianism to freedom and progress? What if âorderâ is just another word for unearned privilege? Against âstabilizing traditionâ Kaplan can only place a modern Hobbesian nightmare of fanaticism, idealism, righteousness, and âabstract and utopian movements from the Nazis to the Bolsheviks to Pol Pot and Ayatollah Khomeini, each in its own way constituting a dictatorship of perfect virtue, since in each case ideology was paramount.â Were these monsters all progressives? And wasnât the old order a form of dictatorship? Did it not see itself as righteous and virtuous? Is monarchy non-ideological?
I think Kaplan would allow that it is, but following the thinking of Jeane Kirkpatrick he has a rationalization for why traditional autocracies are good and revolutionary ones bad. And in any event, historically autocracy is the âdefault optionâ for governing a state âwhile democracy is problematic.â I want to pause there because I began by saying how conservatism has experienced not just an expansion but a warping in the Trump era and that Kaplan was a welcome throwback. But at moments like these (autocracy being the âdefault optionâ) we get a clipped point of view that rhymes with current radical thinkers on todayâs right who wonder why we canât go back to the glory days of Mesopotamian god-kings.
Of course there have been a lot of things society and human civilizations have done that, taking the long view, have to be considered humanityâs default option. We can take this to absurd lengths though. Itâs only an ideology that enshrines stability and tradition, indeed even age, over youth or any notion of change or problematic âprogressâ that allows people to think that autocracy is somehow good. And Iâm sure nobody does think like this. Itâs just a way of defending a status quo. Which of course is never based in an ideology itself because itâs ânaturalâ or âorganicâ or something like that. Throw in some other right-wing talking points like how in American politics âthe countryside is assailing the city, which has grown effete in the course of many decades of luxury and cultural refinement,â and I was near ready to give up. I even wrote in the margins beside this final point âDoes he really believe this?â I think he does, given how he approvingly cites Spengler for the idea that traditions âultimately are rooted in the soilâ and other nonsense. There is definitely a rural-urban split in the American vote, but what Kaplan describes is the cartoon version.
I canât resist drawing attention to another point I just adverted to. âThe triumph of youth over age, rather than leading to hope, as conventional wisdom has it, leads instead to disintegration,â Kaplan writes. Age is like order and tradition, a paramount conservative virtue. Itâs only progressive media idiots (and Kaplan does hate the invariably liberal media) who donât realize âhow age carries the memories of a culture with all of its traditions, in which youth has first to be instructed. To put youth on an even higher pedestal, therefore, is to destroy civilization.â Again with the fall of Western Civ. That it was the anti-civilizational fury of the Boomers that brought us Brexit and Trump doesnât seem to register. This was a revolution of retirees. But Iâve said enough about this many times before.
Kaplan does make some points worth attending to, but I found most of them to be general and not very original. The title of the book is borrowed from Eliotâs poem, but I donât think thereâs much of a connection to be made there beyond the older order being ground into fragments and ruin. Similarly, the notion that âthe entire world is one big Weimar nowâ because it doesnât cohere struck me as superficial. âShakespearean declineâ is defined as political collapse through the failure of powerful individual leaders. I donât think any of this will stick with me.
Sometimes Kagan gets carried away by his reading, or his rhetoric. His political heroes from the twentieth century include mystics like Oswald Spengler (âthe great German philosopher-historian and polymath of the early 20th century, perhaps the greatest of all timeâ) and Alexander Solzhenitsyn (ânot merely a great man of literature, but one of the great men of the 20th centuryâ). I think both have to be read in context and with more than a grain of salt. Then there are moments like his account of the outbreak of the First World War, which reaches for this mangled metaphor: âPeople sleepwalked backward into the horrors of the 20th century, blindly slashed by its revolving blades.â What does it mean to sleepwalk backward? Are the blades of history blindly slashing, or the people being blindly slashed?
This book came out just before Trumpâs second term kicked off, an administration whose bad impact has already as of this writing been both incalculable and, I believe, irremediable. Kagan doesnât say a lot about Trump, mainly casting him as an example of the decline in American leadership (which he doesnât think has been as bad as in Russia and China, which is a point I donât agree with) and seeing him as the result of an excess of democracy, pumped up by social media and other fragmenting social forces. Heâs right, but Trump is also an autocrat who cast himself very much as the defender of a traditional order, a bulwark against the coming anarchy of radical socialism, the woke mind virus, and every other progressive shibboleth. In part this was all just propaganda, as Trump was a committed radical without a whiff of authentic conservatism about him. But what still styled itself as conservatism largely lined up behind the MAGA movement anyway. All of which leads one to question how real any part of the conservative message ever was, and whether every political order, old or new and with whatever label, has the same ends in view.
Notes:
Review first published online May 4, 2026.