We’re two months into 2026 and one thing is clear:
Demand for MCA hasn’t slowed down.
If anything, volume is up.
Banks are still slow.
SBA still takes forever.
SMBs still need speed.
Estimates have the MCA market hovering around the ~$20B mark this year, growing mid-single digits annually. That tracks with what I’m seeing — more merchants coming back for 2nds/3rds, more new brokers entering the space, and more capital looking for yield.
But here’s what’s different vs prior years:
• Merchants are stacking faster
• Renewal cycles are shorter
• Margins are tighter
• Funders are competing harder on speed + flexibility
The growth is real — but so is the compression.
This isn’t 2021 “easy money.” It’s a more crowded, more sophisticated market. The funders winning right now seem to be the ones who:
– Move fast without blowing up their book
– Price smart (not just cheap)
– Actually understand merchant cash flow cycles
– Support brokers with real communication
For brokers: there’s opportunity.
For funders: discipline matters more than ever.
Curious what others are seeing so far in 2026 — pipelines stronger? More competition? More renewals than new deals?
Let’s compare notes.