(15-02-2025, 07:57 PM)CY09 Wrote: Payment to the Retail property manager which is Capitaland is: 2% per annum of the net property income
Payment to the REIT manager annually is 0.25% of the property appraised value + 4.25% of the net property income.
Ion is valued at $3,697 million, NPI is about $258 million.
So the retail property manager arm earns $5million
REIT manager earns $9.2million+$11 million annually
All in if Ion had 100% been sold, Capland Investment earns an annual recurring fee of say $25.2 million in revenue. Profit wise I am not sure how much because there is also the profit component of sale price- development cost-land cost- interest expense
Hi CY09,
It might be more nuanced than that. There are 2 components to any sort of gains - operating gains (recurring) and fair value gains (one time):
First and foremost, Ion Orchard is accounted for as a JV in CLI accounts as Orchard Turn Holdings (OTH), and so we have to look at the JV financials for a guide. In addition, if you look back at the transaction from CICT side, it involves buying the 50% stake in the property manager too. So prior to transaction, CLI "earns" (which is actually savings) property management fees as part of the internal property management structure. Post transaction, CLI does not earn anything.
Doing a quick proforma check with on FY23 data:
Operating Gains (Recurring)
- Prior to transaction, let's not forget CLI derive earnings from ownership too. And this earnings from ownership is much larger than the AUM fees.
- From CLI AR23's note 8, PATMI of owning the property: 207mil or ~
103.5mil for 50% stake. Take note that since this is JV, the PATMI is at JV level and hence not consolidated in CLI's accounting. Therefore, the above earnings is net of all interest/depreciation costs.
If this is net off from the AUM fees (~20mil) as you calculated,
the net loss in recurring income will be 103.5mil - 20mil = -83.5mil
Fair Value Gain (One Time)
- Acquisition price of property: S$3,697.0m (as per CICT's Sept2024 announcement)
- Non current asset of Orchard Turn Holdings: S$3,392.0m (unfortunately, I can't find Ion Orchard valuation and so used the non-current asset as per CLI AR23's note 8 as approximation)
- Fair Value Gain 3697mil - 3392mil ~305mil or
~152.5mil for 50% stake
- Of course, the above are accounting numbers. One could also expect the JV to declare some of the "excess cash" from the BS (already recognized as P/L earlier) before the transaction completed. But that's not a lot.
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So in essence, a change in the business model is not really about earnings. Matter of fact, earnings reduce. The bigger picture is about capital efficiency, as the free-up ~1bil looks for new business lines. The "loss in recurring earnings" will be eventually replaced by new business lines, hopefully with better efficiency and hence "quality" resulting in a multiple re-rating by Mr Market. This switch obviously doesn't happen over night nor is it easily evident on the financial statements.
I am not a certified financial advisor and so nothing of what I say should be construed as financial advice. Please consult a certified financial advisor for advice instead.