Business Times - 11 Jul 2011
STARTING YOUNG
Taking a cue from Buffett's ideas
By REBECCA LIU
WHEN 23-year-old Richard Liao sets his mind on something, he goes full steam ahead.
The final-year business (honours) student at Nanyang Technological University (NTU) is also the equities fund manager of the NTU's Student Managed Investment Fund, chairman (financial workshops) and research executive of the NTU Investment Interactive Club, as well as business development director of the university's Risk Management Society.
All this, despite the avid reader and chess player initially wanting to pursue a physics degree to become a researcher in a laboratory. Now an intern at Great Eastern, he will be spending four months in New Zealand on a student exchange programme.
Q: What influenced you to begin your investment journey?
A: My family has always taught me the value of saving and being thrifty. There are always times when you have to prepare for a rainy day - you need to save some money for an emergency.
When my parents bought our current house, they overestimated their purchasing power and took up a very big mortgage loan. It was at the peak of the housing bubble in 1997. When the prices crashed, even the selling price couldn't pay for the loan and we had to hold on to the house.
Because of this, my mother said that I have to start working earlier. Initially, I wanted to study physics and be a researcher to get a PhD, but that would take too long. So I thought, maybe I should do something else instead. This is also why I am completing my degree in 21/2 years instead of the usual three.
Q: How did you start your investment journey?
A: In junior college (JC), GIC gave us a talk about fund management, which interested me. I started reading about finance and investing. I thought about how I could make a living for myself and my family, so I decided to change my major to a finance-related one when I was in JC2, in 2006.
Throughout my national service and the period before the start of university, I was always reading up to gain the knowledge and skills required to make sound investment decisions. The first book I read was on the investment habits of Warren Buffett and George Soros.
Q: What is your current investment philosophy?
A: I follow Warren Buffett's approach of focusing on value and growth investing. I search for undervalued companies which have growth potential - the Growth at A Reasonable Price (GARP) strategy.
However, with the recent financial crisis, fundamental investment is not really useful any more. When you invest in undervalued companies, other investors also have to see the value in the company before its stock price can rise. If they don't notice the company, you will never get your returns. So what I think is the most viable philosophy now is the global macro style - where you analyse the macroeconomic trends and invest accordingly.
Because you are a small player, you can't really go against the big trends. So the best style is to go with the flow, the style of systematic trading and trend following.
Q: Describe your current and ideal portfolio.
A: I don't trade in stocks because I do not have a large capital to start with. So I start with forex and a three-digit portfolio. I play only the major currencies as they are the most liquid, such as the US dollar, euro and Australian dollar.
Forex is good because you can start with a small amount of capital. The leverage is very high, but you have to control your capital by setting a stop-loss.
My ideal portfolio would be composed of 20 per cent each in fixed income and currencies, and 30 per cent each in equities and commodities. It is good to have a range of different asset classes, but it would really depend on the current economic situation. However, I believe that commodity prices are still going to go up in the long term, such as those of gold and precious metals.
I would also consider emerging-market bonds.
Q: What financial planning have you done for yourself?
A: I'm a certified financial adviser. I took the CMFAS M5, 8, 9 and SCI HI exams to help me clinch internships. I intend to continue the policies my parents have bought for me. I will review them and see what else is needed.
I'm also saving to start an algorithmic trading system, when I start working next year. I will need at least US$5,000 to host it on a virtual private server in a cloud. Eventually, my aim is to set up my own fund, maybe this algorithm is my start-up. I guess you could call me an aspiring fund manager.
Q: What is your best and worst investment?
A: At the beginning of 2009, I made a 40 per cent profit in a single trade over the euro/US dollar pairing. It was a several-month trend and I managed to capture the entire profit from there while risking only 5 per cent of my trade. I feel that it is the best investment as I had discipline in following my strategy and it turned out to be profitable.
My worst investment is probably when I speculated in silver at the beginning of this year. I speculated in silver CFDs (contracts for difference) and made a 100 per cent profit overnight. I was shocked because I didn't expect it to go that high. But I consider it my worst investment as it was a very risky trade and I could have lost everything - it could have wiped out 50 per cent of my capital. A lot of it was based on luck, I just managed to capture the last bull run of silver before prices fell.
Q: Any advice for novice investors?
A: You have to do a lot of homework, as investing and trading is not easy. You have to make an effort to understand what you don't know. Over the past five years, I've read very extensively about different methods, ideals and philosophies to cultivate my own investment philosophy.
You must also differentiate trading from investment. Trading is more of a short-term view on the market while investing is a long-term thing that seeks capital appreciation.
Finally, trade in what you understand well. Learn as much as possible before putting in your own money. As Warren Buffett says, risk comes from not knowing what you are doing.
A lot of people tell me that trading in forex is very risky. But if you know what you are doing, and the mechanisms behind it, it will actually be a low-risk kind of trading instead.
If you're between 17 and 30 with investing experience to share, do get in touch.
E-mail
[email protected] with 'Starting Young' as the subject heading and include your name, contact details and a short write-up on your investing story